Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 0.000203 0.000227 0.000253 0.000282 0.000315 0.000351 0.000392
2025-06-08 0.000166 0.000198 0.000235 0.000279 0.000331 0.000392 0.000466
2025-06-15 0.000141 0.000178 0.000222 0.000278 0.000349 0.000434 0.000544
2025-06-22 0.000121 0.000160 0.000209 0.000276 0.000362 0.000470 0.000618
2025-06-29 0.000108 0.000149 0.000203 0.000279 0.000382 0.000517 0.000708
2025-07-06 0.000096 0.000139 0.000196 0.000280 0.000399 0.000559 0.000794
2025-07-13 0.000085 0.000128 0.000188 0.000277 0.000409 0.000593 0.000871
2025-07-20 0.000079 0.000123 0.000186 0.000285 0.000433 0.000647 0.000981
2025-07-27 0.000073 0.000117 0.000182 0.000287 0.000450 0.000692 0.001079
2025-08-03 0.000067 0.000110 0.000177 0.000287 0.000463 0.000731 0.001172
2025-08-10 0.000061 0.000103 0.000171 0.000284 0.000471 0.000763 0.001254
2025-08-17 0.000057 0.000099 0.000168 0.000287 0.000487 0.000808 0.001362
2025-08-24 0.000052 0.000093 0.000162 0.000284 0.000494 0.000841 0.001453
2025-08-31 0.000047 0.000088 0.000157 0.000283 0.000505 0.000881 0.001559
2025-09-07 0.000044 0.000084 0.000153 0.000284 0.000519 0.000926 0.001678
2025-09-14 0.000041 0.000079 0.000149 0.000281 0.000528 0.000962 0.001784
2025-09-21 0.000038 0.000077 0.000147 0.000286 0.000547 0.001020 0.001931
2025-09-28 0.000036 0.000074 0.000145 0.000287 0.000562 0.001069 0.002068
2025-10-05 0.000033 0.000070 0.000140 0.000284 0.000569 0.001104 0.002180
2025-10-12 0.000032 0.000069 0.000141 0.000292 0.000596 0.001179 0.002373
2025-10-19 0.000030 0.000066 0.000139 0.000294 0.000613 0.001235 0.002533
2025-10-26 0.000028 0.000064 0.000136 0.000294 0.000626 0.001284 0.002681
2025-11-02 0.000026 0.000061 0.000132 0.000292 0.000632 0.001320 0.002806